Evaluation Tricks to watch out for

Evaluation Tricks to watch out for include regression to the mean, volunteer bias, migration bias, and the “risk factor switcharoo”.

Henry Ford observational study that shows 66% in-hospital mortality reduction from hydroxychloroquine seems to be guilty of “heroic propensity score” problem

During the 1990s, I served as the director of the Center for Clinical Effectiveness at the Henry Ford Health System in Detroit.  I was lucky to have an opportunity to hang around with a really talented group of people there, some of whom are still there.  Back in the day, I was among the loudest

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Al Lewis calls workplace wellness programs “get well quick schemes”

Al Lewis is an actuarial consultant that has long focused on challenging wellness and care management vendors to prove their value.  He founded the “Disease Management Purchasing Consortium” and established a training and certification program for “critical outcomes report analysis.” Al has been calling out the methodological carelessness and dirty tricks of wellness and care

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Klar 3: The necessity of re-qualifying the population to avoid regression-toward-the-mean bias in historical comparison groups

Ron Klar, MD, MPH is a health care consultant with a long history of involvement in federal health care policy and health plan innovation. He published a recent series of three posts regarding the draft rules for the Medicare Shared Savings Program (MSSP) in the Health Affairs Blog, an influential forum for debating health policy

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Identifying and Understanding Analysis Tricks: Regression Toward the Mean

Imagine that you are a new homeowner, shopping for insurance for your new house.  You live in an area prone to earthquakes, and you are not a big risk-taker.  You decide that you should have earthquake insurance.  You are on the web researching earthquake insurance policies. You come across the web site of Acme Insurance,

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