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Dr. Ward's Methods Notes

How to use and improve predictive models

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Dr. Ward April 21, 2017 No Comments

So, is there any good use of O/E analysis? Yes. It’s called Benchmark Opportunity Analysis.

In last week’s post, I argued that observed over expected analysis (O/E) was commonly misused as a method for doing “level playing field” performance comparisons.

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Dr. Ward October 29, 2011 No Comments
Dr. Ward's Methods Notes

Observed over expected (O/E) analysis is commonly misapplied to performance comparisons. Please don’t.

A few years ago, I had a shocking and enlightening discussion about analytic methods with a group of epidemiologists and biostatisticians from Blue Cross Blue

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Dr. Ward October 10, 2011 9 Comments
Model-based Reporting

Dr. Ward to speak at 5th Annual Predictive Modeling Summit, November 8-9, 2011, Washington, DC

The 5th Annual Predictive Modeling Summit is described by conference organizers as the “leading forum on predictive analytics applied to key health care functions, settings

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Dr. Ward August 11, 2011 1 Comment
ACO Reimbursement and Gain Sharing

Klar 3: The necessity of re-qualifying the population to avoid regression-toward-the-mean bias in historical comparison groups

Ron Klar, MD, MPH is a health care consultant with a long history of involvement in federal health care policy and health plan innovation. He

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Dr. Ward July 16, 2011 1 Comment
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