How to use and improve predictive models

Dr. Ward

Richard E. Ward, MD, MBA, CEO of Reward Health. Also physician, health care analytics and informatics innovator, husband, father, tenor & gradually improving swimmer

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Recent Posts

U of Michigan study: Epic’s sepsis predictive model has “poor performance” due to low AUC, but reporting AUC is like building a bridge half way over a river. How to finish the job.

What is missing from the CMS Innovation Center five year vision?

Microsoft’s purchase of Nuance is not a bold move, despite the $16B price. My advice to Mr. Nadella is to avoid shiny objects and to not avoid process change.

Berwick and Gilfillan offer six recommendations for reinventing CMMI. My response is yes, but they don’t address the #1 issue: failure to achieve critical mass.

The Post-COVID Wave and advice for business leaders navigating the pandemic and beyond: Dr. Ward interviewed by Gurmeet Judge, CEO of Encompass Business Technologies

Some masks are better than others, and simple hacks can lead to big improvements in protection of wearer

Defensible COVID-19 vaccine prioritization policy will require bravery and explicit principles and analytics. We offer example principles and propose a 6-step process.

3 steps for executing an effective consumer-driven physician strategy

No, COVID statistics don’t look bad because the US does too much testing or because hospitals are attributing too many deaths to COVID

University of Illinois is using campus-level COVID model, mandatory frequent saliva testing, an army of contact tracers and dynamic policy to keep the campus safe

U of Michigan study: Epic’s sepsis predictive model has “poor performance” due to low AUC, but reporting AUC is like building a bridge half way over a river. How to finish the job.

Dr. Ward August 29, 2021

What is missing from the CMS Innovation Center five year vision?

Dr. Ward August 18, 2021

Microsoft’s purchase of Nuance is not a bold move, despite the $16B price. My advice to Mr. Nadella is to avoid shiny objects and to not avoid process change.

Dr. Ward April 14, 2021

Berwick and Gilfillan offer six recommendations for reinventing CMMI. My response is yes, but they don’t address the #1 issue: failure to achieve critical mass.

Dr. Ward April 7, 2021

The Post-COVID Wave and advice for business leaders navigating the pandemic and beyond: Dr. Ward interviewed by Gurmeet Judge, CEO of Encompass Business Technologies

Dr. Ward February 17, 2021

Some masks are better than others, and simple hacks can lead to big improvements in protection of wearer

Dr. Ward December 11, 2020