How to use and improve predictive models

Dr. Ward

Richard E. Ward, MD, MBA, CEO of Reward Health. Also physician, health care analytics and informatics innovator, husband, father, tenor & gradually improving swimmer

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Recent Posts

What should we do when there is a clash between two noble goals: consumer transparency and quality improvement? Five proposed principles.

CDC’s new $200M Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics mistakenly frames modeling efforts as “forecasting.” It should be all about policy decision support.

Oncology Care Model failure calls for rethinking our approach to real, sustainable improvement in specialty care

U of Michigan study: Epic’s sepsis predictive model has “poor performance” due to low AUC, but reporting AUC is like building a bridge half way over a river. How to finish the job.

What is missing from the CMS Innovation Center five year vision?

Microsoft’s purchase of Nuance is not a bold move, despite the $16B price. My advice to Mr. Nadella is to avoid shiny objects and to not avoid process change.

Berwick and Gilfillan offer six recommendations for reinventing CMMI. My response is yes, but they don’t address the #1 issue: failure to achieve critical mass.

The Post-COVID Wave and advice for business leaders navigating the pandemic and beyond: Dr. Ward interviewed by Gurmeet Judge, CEO of Encompass Business Technologies

Some masks are better than others, and simple hacks can lead to big improvements in protection of wearer

Defensible COVID-19 vaccine prioritization policy will require bravery and explicit principles and analytics. We offer example principles and propose a 6-step process.

What should we do when there is a clash between two noble goals: consumer transparency and quality improvement? Five proposed principles.

Dr. Ward December 14, 2021

CDC’s new $200M Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics mistakenly frames modeling efforts as “forecasting.” It should be all about policy decision support.

Dr. Ward November 28, 2021

Oncology Care Model failure calls for rethinking our approach to real, sustainable improvement in specialty care

Dr. Ward November 10, 2021

U of Michigan study: Epic’s sepsis predictive model has “poor performance” due to low AUC, but reporting AUC is like building a bridge half way over a river. How to finish the job.

Dr. Ward August 29, 2021

What is missing from the CMS Innovation Center five year vision?

Dr. Ward August 18, 2021

Microsoft’s purchase of Nuance is not a bold move, despite the $16B price. My advice to Mr. Nadella is to avoid shiny objects and to not avoid process change.

Dr. Ward April 14, 2021