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Clinical Practice Guidelines and Protocols

Defensible COVID-19 vaccine prioritization policy will require bravery and explicit principles and analytics. We offer example principles and propose a 6-step process.

For almost a year, the weary public has been receiving a confusing mix of information and misinformation and witnessing an inconsistent and sometimes incoherent policy-making

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Dr. Ward December 7, 2020 No Comments
COVID-19

University of Illinois is using campus-level COVID model, mandatory frequent saliva testing, an army of contact tracers and dynamic policy to keep the campus safe

In a recent article in Nature, the COVID19 response for the University of Illinois at Urbana campus was detailed. Although a spike in cases reported

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Dr. Ward September 15, 2020 No Comments
Agent-based Models

Introducing the Harm Index Minimization Strategy for COVID-19 pandemic response: Better than Flatten the Curve, Crush the Curve and Hammer and Dance strategies

In my last post, I described three helpful analogies — Forest Fire, Genie in the Bottle, and Trucker in the Mountains — that make it

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Dr. Ward September 2, 2020 4 Comments
Accountable Care Organizations (ACOs)

If repealing Obamacare is off the table, can we turn attention to improving it through cost-effective clinical protocols?

Paul Krugman recently wrote an article in the New York Times posing the question: if repealing Obamacare is off the table (for now), should people

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Dr. Ward August 7, 2017 No Comments
ACO Reimbursement and Gain Sharing

New HIT ROI lit review is a methodologic tour de force, but misses the point

Recently, Jesdeep Bassi and Francis Lau of the University of Victoria (British Columbia) published in the Journal of the American Medical Informatics Association (JAMIA) another in

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Dr. Ward February 23, 2013 No Comments
Cost-Effectiveness Analysis (CEA)

Conceptualizing “over-treatment” waste: Don’t deny health economics

A Health Policy Brief published in Health Affairs on December 13, 2012 referenced an analysis published last April in JAMA regarding waste in health care.

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Dr. Ward December 23, 2012 No Comments
ACO Culture

To resolve conflicts, re-frame polar positions as optimization between undesirable extremes. But, sometimes there is no way to win.

In politics and professional life, achieving success requires the ability to resolve conflicts.  I’ve noticed that conflicts often become entrenched because the opposing parties both

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Dr. Ward February 18, 2012 3 Comments
Evaluation Methods

Slides for Dr. Ward’s presentation at 3rd Annual Predictive Modeling Congress for Health Plans, Orlando, Florida, January 31, 2012

  Click here for PDF copy of slides.

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Dr. Ward February 1, 2012 No Comments
Cost-Effectiveness Analysis (CEA)

The debate about what to maximize when selecting candidates for care management programs: Accuracy? ROI? Net Savings? Or Cost-Effectiveness?

When doing analysis, it is really important to clarify up front what it is you are actually trying to figure out.  This sounds so obvious.

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Dr. Ward September 17, 2011 No Comments
ACO Culture

Reports of the death of Cost-Effectiveness Analysis in the U.S. may have been exaggerated: The ongoing case of Mammography

Guidelines for the use of mammograms to screen for breast cancer have been the topic of one of the fiercest and longest-running debates in medicine.

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Dr. Ward August 13, 2011 No Comments
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