Modeling Methods

Modeling Methods include diverse methods used to explore and understand the implications of assumptions related to a system, process or decision and to make quantitative estimates of future outcomes under alternative scenarios to support proactive decision-making.

The Smoking Intervention Program, a Provider-based Care Management Process

Smoking cessation is an important public health concern, and has been the subject of a recent Agency for Health Care Policy and Research (AHCPR) guideline, as well as a HEDIS measure.   A point prevalence study conducted with the Henry Ford Health System found a 27.4% prevalence of smoking, and an additional 38.6% former smokers. The

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Using Eddy’s Explicit Method to Develop Practice Guidelines for Mammography in the 40-49 Age Group

Note that the following write-up is now almost 20 years old!  (How did that happen?)  Amazingly, the debate about the role and frequency of mammography in the 40-49 age group has raged on the entire time since then.  This case study demonstrates the real-world use of the “explicit method” proposed by one of my “health

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CQI Methods Used Improve the Quality of Cervical Cancer Screening

A baseline evaluation of “Pap” smears done in a large multi-specialty group practice revealed that over 25% of samples were designated “less than optimal” because of the absence of observed endocervical cells, an indicator of sample adequacy. In addition, there was a large variation in the rates of sample adequacy achieved by different physicians and

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